Vaneck Merk Gold Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 22.02

OUNZ Etf  USD 25.97  0.32  1.25%   
VanEck Merk's future price is the expected price of VanEck Merk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck Merk Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck Merk Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Merk Correlation, VanEck Merk Hype Analysis, VanEck Merk Volatility, VanEck Merk History as well as VanEck Merk Performance.
  
Please specify VanEck Merk's target price for which you would like VanEck Merk odds to be computed.

VanEck Merk Target Price Odds to finish over 22.02

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 22.02  in 90 days
 25.97 90 days 22.02 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Merk to stay above $ 22.02  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This VanEck Merk Gold probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Merk Gold price to stay between $ 22.02  and its current price of $25.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Merk Gold has a beta of -0.23. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VanEck Merk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VanEck Merk Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VanEck Merk Gold has an alpha of 0.1287, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VanEck Merk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck Merk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Merk Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9525.9726.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8323.8528.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3026.3127.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7325.4726.21
Details

VanEck Merk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Merk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Merk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Merk Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Merk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

VanEck Merk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Merk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Merk Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Flow Traders U.S. LLC Acquires Shares of 11,623 Van Eck Merk Gold Trust
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

VanEck Merk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VanEck Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VanEck Merk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VanEck Merk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

VanEck Merk Technical Analysis

VanEck Merk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Merk Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck Merk Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck Merk's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Merk's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Merk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck Merk Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Merk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Merk Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Flow Traders U.S. LLC Acquires Shares of 11,623 Van Eck Merk Gold Trust
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
When determining whether VanEck Merk Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck Merk's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck Merk Gold Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck Merk Gold Etf:
Check out VanEck Merk Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Merk Correlation, VanEck Merk Hype Analysis, VanEck Merk Volatility, VanEck Merk History as well as VanEck Merk Performance.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of VanEck Merk Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Merk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Merk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Merk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Merk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Merk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Merk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Merk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.