Vaneck Merk Gold Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 28.00
| OUNZ Etf | USD 25.68 0.23 0.90% |
Closest to current price VanEck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
VanEck |
VanEck Merk Target Price Odds to finish over 28.00
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 28.00 or more in 90 days |
| 25.68 | 90 days | 28.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Merk to move over $ 28.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VanEck Merk Gold probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Merk Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 25.68 and $ 28.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Merk Gold has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VanEck Merk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VanEck Merk Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VanEck Merk Gold has an alpha of 0.1052, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VanEck Merk Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VanEck Merk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Merk Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck Merk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Merk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Merk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Merk Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Merk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
VanEck Merk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Merk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Merk Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
VanEck Merk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VanEck Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VanEck Merk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VanEck Merk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
VanEck Merk Technical Analysis
VanEck Merk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Merk Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Merk Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Merk's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Merk's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Merk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Merk Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Merk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Merk Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Check out VanEck Merk Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Merk Correlation, VanEck Merk Hype Analysis, VanEck Merk Volatility, VanEck Merk History as well as VanEck Merk Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
The market value of VanEck Merk Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Merk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Merk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Merk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Merk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Merk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Merk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Merk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.