Bank Ozk Preferred Preferred Stock Odds of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 13.83
| OZKAP Preferred Stock | USD 17.64 0.40 2.32% |
Bank |
Bank Ozk Target Price Odds to finish below 13.83
The tendency of Bank Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.83 or more in 90 days |
| 17.64 | 90 days | 13.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Ozk to drop to $ 13.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Ozk Preferred probability density function shows the probability of Bank Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Ozk Preferred price to stay between $ 13.83 and its current price of $17.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank Ozk has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Bank Ozk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Ozk Preferred will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Ozk Preferred has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank Ozk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Ozk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Ozk Preferred. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Ozk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Ozk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Ozk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Ozk Preferred, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Ozk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bank Ozk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Ozk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Ozk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 146.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.16 | |
| Shares Float | 109.8 M |
Bank Ozk Technical Analysis
Bank Ozk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Ozk Preferred. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Ozk Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Ozk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Ozk's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Ozk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Ozk in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Ozk's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Ozk options trading.
Additional Tools for Bank Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Bank Ozk's price analysis, check to measure Bank Ozk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Ozk is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Ozk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Ozk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Ozk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Ozk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.