Palantir Technologies (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.56
| P2LT34 Stock | 123.65 1.66 1.36% |
Palantir |
Palantir Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 122.56
The tendency of Palantir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 122.56 or more in 90 days |
| 123.65 | 90 days | 122.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palantir Technologies to drop to 122.56 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Palantir Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Palantir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Palantir Technologies price to stay between 122.56 and its current price of 123.65 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Palantir Technologies has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Palantir Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Palantir Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Palantir Technologies has an alpha of 1.2119, implying that it can generate a 1.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Palantir Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Palantir Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palantir Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Palantir Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palantir Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palantir Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palantir Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palantir Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Palantir Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palantir Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palantir Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Palantir Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (520.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B. |
Palantir Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palantir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palantir Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palantir Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
Palantir Technologies Technical Analysis
Palantir Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palantir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palantir Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palantir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Palantir Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Palantir Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Palantir Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Palantir Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Palantir Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Palantir Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palantir Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Palantir Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (520.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Palantir Stock
When determining whether Palantir Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Palantir Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Palantir Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Palantir Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Palantir Technologies Backtesting, Palantir Technologies Valuation, Palantir Technologies Correlation, Palantir Technologies Hype Analysis, Palantir Technologies Volatility, Palantir Technologies History as well as Palantir Technologies Performance. For information on how to trade Palantir Stock refer to our How to Trade Palantir Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.