Panther Metals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.97

PALM Stock   122.50  2.50  2.00%   
Panther Metals' future price is the expected price of Panther Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Panther Metals PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Panther Metals Backtesting, Panther Metals Valuation, Panther Metals Correlation, Panther Metals Hype Analysis, Panther Metals Volatility, Panther Metals History as well as Panther Metals Performance.
  
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Panther Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 117.97

The tendency of Panther Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  117.97  or more in 90 days
 122.50 90 days 117.97 
about 89.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panther Metals to drop to  117.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.47 (This Panther Metals PLC probability density function shows the probability of Panther Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panther Metals PLC price to stay between  117.97  and its current price of 122.5 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panther Metals has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Panther Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Panther Metals PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Panther Metals PLC has an alpha of 0.3189, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Panther Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Panther Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panther Metals PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.57119.10123.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.6892.21134.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
125.66130.19134.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.2297.78131.33
Details

Panther Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panther Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panther Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panther Metals PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panther Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
15.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Panther Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panther Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panther Metals PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Panther Metals PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Panther Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Panther Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panther Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panther Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panther Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments66.1 K

Panther Metals Technical Analysis

Panther Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panther Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panther Metals PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panther Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Panther Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Panther Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Panther Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panther Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Panther Metals PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Panther Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panther Metals PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Panther Metals PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Panther Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Panther Stock Analysis

When running Panther Metals' price analysis, check to measure Panther Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Panther Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Panther Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Panther Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Panther Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Panther Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.