Pampa Energia (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3635.8
| PAMP Stock | ARS 3,710 20.00 0.54% |
Pampa |
Pampa Energia Target Price Odds to finish over 3635.8
The tendency of Pampa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3,636 in 90 days |
| 3,710 | 90 days | 3,636 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pampa Energia to stay above 3,636 in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pampa Energia SA probability density function shows the probability of Pampa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pampa Energia SA price to stay between 3,636 and its current price of 3710.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pampa Energia SA has a beta of -0.28 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pampa Energia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pampa Energia SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pampa Energia SA has an alpha of 0.5547, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pampa Energia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pampa Energia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Energia SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pampa Energia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pampa Energia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pampa Energia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pampa Energia SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pampa Energia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 245.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Pampa Energia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pampa Energia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pampa Energia SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pampa Energia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pampa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pampa Energia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pampa Energia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Pampa Energia Technical Analysis
Pampa Energia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pampa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pampa Energia SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pampa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pampa Energia Predictive Forecast Models
Pampa Energia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pampa Energia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pampa Energia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pampa Energia SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pampa Energia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pampa Energia SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pampa Stock
When determining whether Pampa Energia SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pampa Energia's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pampa Energia's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pampa Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Pampa Energia Backtesting, Pampa Energia Valuation, Pampa Energia Correlation, Pampa Energia Hype Analysis, Pampa Energia Volatility, Pampa Energia History as well as Pampa Energia Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.