Pangaea Logistic Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| PANL Stock | USD 5.51 0.21 3.67% |
Closest to current price Pangaea long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Pangaea |
Pangaea Logistic Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Pangaea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 5.51 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pangaea Logistic to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pangaea Logistic probability density function shows the probability of Pangaea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pangaea Logistic price to stay between $ 0.05 and its current price of $5.51 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pangaea Logistic has a beta of 0.9 indicating Pangaea Logistic market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Pangaea Logistic is expected to follow. Additionally Pangaea Logistic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pangaea Logistic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pangaea Logistic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pangaea Logistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pangaea Logistic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pangaea Logistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pangaea Logistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pangaea Logistic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pangaea Logistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Pangaea Logistic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pangaea Logistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pangaea Logistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pangaea Logistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. To Go Ex-Dividend on November 29th |
Pangaea Logistic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pangaea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pangaea Logistic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pangaea Logistic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99 M |
Pangaea Logistic Technical Analysis
Pangaea Logistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pangaea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pangaea Logistic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pangaea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pangaea Logistic Predictive Forecast Models
Pangaea Logistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pangaea Logistic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pangaea Logistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pangaea Logistic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pangaea Logistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pangaea Logistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pangaea Logistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. To Go Ex-Dividend on November 29th |
Check out Pangaea Logistic Backtesting, Pangaea Logistic Valuation, Pangaea Logistic Correlation, Pangaea Logistic Hype Analysis, Pangaea Logistic Volatility, Pangaea Logistic History as well as Pangaea Logistic Performance. For more information on how to buy Pangaea Stock please use our How to buy in Pangaea Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pangaea Logistic. If investors know Pangaea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pangaea Logistic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share 11.544 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 |
The market value of Pangaea Logistic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pangaea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pangaea Logistic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pangaea Logistic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pangaea Logistic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pangaea Logistic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pangaea Logistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pangaea Logistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pangaea Logistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.