Panorama Sentrawisata (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 422.73

PANR Stock  IDR 520.00  5.00  0.97%   
Panorama Sentrawisata's future price is the expected price of Panorama Sentrawisata instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Panorama Sentrawisata Backtesting, Panorama Sentrawisata Valuation, Panorama Sentrawisata Correlation, Panorama Sentrawisata Hype Analysis, Panorama Sentrawisata Volatility, Panorama Sentrawisata History as well as Panorama Sentrawisata Performance.
  
Please specify Panorama Sentrawisata's target price for which you would like Panorama Sentrawisata odds to be computed.

Panorama Sentrawisata Target Price Odds to finish below 422.73

The tendency of Panorama Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  422.73  or more in 90 days
 520.00 90 days 422.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panorama Sentrawisata to drop to  422.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Panorama Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk price to stay between  422.73  and its current price of 520.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk has a beta of -0.0347 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Panorama Sentrawisata are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk has an alpha of 0.2507, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Panorama Sentrawisata Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Panorama Sentrawisata

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
519.23520.00520.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
421.96422.73572.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
531.08531.86532.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
520.00520.00520.00
Details

Panorama Sentrawisata Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panorama Sentrawisata is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panorama Sentrawisata's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panorama Sentrawisata within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
25.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Panorama Sentrawisata Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panorama Sentrawisata for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 101.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.28 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.21 B.
Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk has accumulated about 31.5 B in cash with (122.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Panorama Sentrawisata Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panorama Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panorama Sentrawisata's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panorama Sentrawisata's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments31.5 B

Panorama Sentrawisata Technical Analysis

Panorama Sentrawisata's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panorama Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panorama Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Panorama Sentrawisata Predictive Forecast Models

Panorama Sentrawisata's time-series forecasting models is one of many Panorama Sentrawisata's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panorama Sentrawisata's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Panorama Sentrawisata for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 101.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.28 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.21 B.
Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk has accumulated about 31.5 B in cash with (122.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Panorama Stock

Panorama Sentrawisata financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panorama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panorama with respect to the benefits of owning Panorama Sentrawisata security.