Panin Sekuritas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1638.75
| PANS Stock | IDR 1,635 15.00 0.93% |
Panin |
Panin Sekuritas Target Price Odds to finish below 1638.75
The tendency of Panin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,639 after 90 days |
| 1,635 | 90 days | 1,639 | about 69.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panin Sekuritas to stay under 1,639 after 90 days from now is about 69.1 (This Panin Sekuritas Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Panin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panin Sekuritas Tbk price to stay between its current price of 1,635 and 1,639 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panin Sekuritas Tbk has a beta of -0.0311 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Panin Sekuritas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Panin Sekuritas Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Panin Sekuritas Tbk has an alpha of 0.0345, implying that it can generate a 0.0345 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Panin Sekuritas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Panin Sekuritas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panin Sekuritas Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Panin Sekuritas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panin Sekuritas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panin Sekuritas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panin Sekuritas Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panin Sekuritas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Panin Sekuritas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panin Sekuritas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panin Sekuritas Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Panin Sekuritas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panin Sekuritas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panin Sekuritas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 714.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.1 B |
Panin Sekuritas Technical Analysis
Panin Sekuritas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panin Sekuritas Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Panin Sekuritas Predictive Forecast Models
Panin Sekuritas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Panin Sekuritas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panin Sekuritas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Panin Sekuritas Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Panin Sekuritas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panin Sekuritas Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Panin Stock
Panin Sekuritas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panin with respect to the benefits of owning Panin Sekuritas security.