Pacific Pipe (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.74

PAP Stock  THB 1.76  0.01  0.56%   
Pacific Pipe's future price is the expected price of Pacific Pipe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Pipe Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Pipe Backtesting, Pacific Pipe Valuation, Pacific Pipe Correlation, Pacific Pipe Hype Analysis, Pacific Pipe Volatility, Pacific Pipe History as well as Pacific Pipe Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Pipe's target price for which you would like Pacific Pipe odds to be computed.

Pacific Pipe Target Price Odds to finish over 1.74

The tendency of Pacific Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.74  in 90 days
 1.76 90 days 1.74 
about 89.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Pipe to stay above  1.74  in 90 days from now is about 89.97 (This Pacific Pipe Public probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Pipe Public price to stay between  1.74  and its current price of 1.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pacific Pipe has a beta of 0.014 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pacific Pipe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacific Pipe Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pacific Pipe Public has an alpha of 0.1725, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pacific Pipe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Pipe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Pipe Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.766.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.946.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.696.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.751.761.77
Details

Pacific Pipe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Pipe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Pipe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Pipe Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Pipe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Pacific Pipe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Pipe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Pipe Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Pipe Public may become a speculative penny stock
Pacific Pipe Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Pacific Pipe Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Pacific Pipe Public has accumulated about 438.18 M in cash with (164.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.66.
Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pacific Pipe Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Pipe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Pipe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding660 M

Pacific Pipe Technical Analysis

Pacific Pipe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Pipe Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Pipe Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Pipe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Pipe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Pipe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Pipe Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Pipe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Pipe Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Pipe Public may become a speculative penny stock
Pacific Pipe Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Pacific Pipe Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Pacific Pipe Public has accumulated about 438.18 M in cash with (164.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.66.
Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Stock

Pacific Pipe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Pipe security.