Pax High Yield Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 5.65

PAXHX Fund  USD 6.12  0.01  0.16%   
Pax High's future price is the expected price of Pax High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pax High Yield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pax High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pax High Correlation, Pax High Hype Analysis, Pax High Volatility, Pax High History as well as Pax High Performance.
  
Please specify Pax High's target price for which you would like Pax High odds to be computed.

Pax High Target Price Odds to finish below 5.65

The tendency of Pax Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.65  or more in 90 days
 6.12 90 days 5.65 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pax High to drop to $ 5.65  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pax High Yield probability density function shows the probability of Pax Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pax High Yield price to stay between $ 5.65  and its current price of $6.12 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pax High has a beta of 0.0235 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pax High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pax High Yield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pax High Yield has an alpha of 0.0048, implying that it can generate a 0.004849 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pax High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pax High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pax High Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.976.126.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.475.626.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.996.146.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.066.106.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pax High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pax High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pax High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pax High Yield.

Pax High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pax High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pax High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pax High Yield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pax High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.72

Pax High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pax High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pax High Yield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.22% of its assets in bonds

Pax High Technical Analysis

Pax High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pax Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pax High Yield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pax Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pax High Predictive Forecast Models

Pax High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pax High's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pax High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pax High Yield

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pax High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pax High Yield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.22% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Pax Mutual Fund

Pax High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pax Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pax with respect to the benefits of owning Pax High security.
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