Paymentus Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.93

PAY Stock  USD 37.93  0.16  0.42%   
Paymentus Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Paymentus Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Paymentus Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Paymentus Holdings over a specific time period. For example, PAY Option Call 20-12-2024 38 is a CALL option contract on Paymentus Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 38.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-27 at 12:08:01 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of November is 21.0. View All Paymentus options

Closest to current price Paymentus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Paymentus Holdings' future price is the expected price of Paymentus Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Paymentus Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Paymentus Holdings Backtesting, Paymentus Holdings Valuation, Paymentus Holdings Correlation, Paymentus Holdings Hype Analysis, Paymentus Holdings Volatility, Paymentus Holdings History as well as Paymentus Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy Paymentus Stock please use our How to Invest in Paymentus Holdings guide.
  
At this time, Paymentus Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 32.22 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.06 in 2024. Please specify Paymentus Holdings' target price for which you would like Paymentus Holdings odds to be computed.

Paymentus Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 24.93

The tendency of Paymentus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 24.93  in 90 days
 37.93 90 days 24.93 
about 50.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paymentus Holdings to stay above $ 24.93  in 90 days from now is about 50.6 (This Paymentus Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Paymentus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paymentus Holdings price to stay between $ 24.93  and its current price of $37.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.29 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Paymentus Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Paymentus Holdings has an alpha of 0.5922, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Paymentus Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Paymentus Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paymentus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.4537.9342.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6128.0941.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.9740.4544.92
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.4614.7916.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Paymentus Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Paymentus Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Paymentus Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Paymentus Holdings.

Paymentus Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paymentus Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paymentus Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paymentus Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paymentus Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.29
σ
Overall volatility
5.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Paymentus Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paymentus Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paymentus Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paymentus Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advantage Alpha Capital Partners LP Sells 40,734 Shares of Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

Paymentus Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paymentus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paymentus Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paymentus Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments179.4 M

Paymentus Holdings Technical Analysis

Paymentus Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paymentus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paymentus Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paymentus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Paymentus Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Paymentus Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Paymentus Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paymentus Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Paymentus Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Paymentus Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paymentus Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paymentus Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advantage Alpha Capital Partners LP Sells 40,734 Shares of Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

Additional Tools for Paymentus Stock Analysis

When running Paymentus Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Paymentus Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paymentus Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Paymentus Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paymentus Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paymentus Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paymentus Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.