Panca Budi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 515.26
| PBID Stock | IDR 520.00 5.00 0.97% |
Panca |
Panca Budi Target Price Odds to finish over 515.26
The tendency of Panca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 515.26 in 90 days |
| 520.00 | 90 days | 515.26 | about 20.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panca Budi to stay above 515.26 in 90 days from now is about 20.68 (This Panca Budi Idaman probability density function shows the probability of Panca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panca Budi Idaman price to stay between 515.26 and its current price of 520.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panca Budi Idaman has a beta of -0.47 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Panca Budi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Panca Budi Idaman is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Panca Budi Idaman has an alpha of 0.2549, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Panca Budi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Panca Budi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panca Budi Idaman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Panca Budi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panca Budi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panca Budi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panca Budi Idaman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panca Budi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Panca Budi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panca Budi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panca Budi Idaman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Panca Budi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panca Budi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panca Budi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241.5 B |
Panca Budi Technical Analysis
Panca Budi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panca Budi Idaman. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Panca Budi Predictive Forecast Models
Panca Budi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Panca Budi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panca Budi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Panca Budi Idaman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Panca Budi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panca Budi Idaman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Panca Stock
Panca Budi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panca with respect to the benefits of owning Panca Budi security.