Pbnd Etf Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 22.13

PBND Etf  USD 21.77  0.00  0.00%   
PBND's future price is the expected price of PBND instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PBND performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify PBND's target price for which you would like PBND odds to be computed.

PBND Target Price Odds to finish over 22.13

The tendency of PBND Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.13  or more in 90 days
 21.77 90 days 22.13 
nearly 4.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PBND to move over $ 22.13  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.78 (This PBND probability density function shows the probability of PBND Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PBND price to stay between its current price of $ 21.77  and $ 22.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PBND has a beta of 0.0099 indicating as returns on the market go up, PBND average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PBND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PBND has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PBND Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PBND

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PBND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7721.7721.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5821.5823.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6121.6121.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.7721.7721.77
Details

PBND Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PBND is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PBND's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PBND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PBND within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

PBND Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PBND for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PBND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBND is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
PBND created five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 7.6% of its assets in bonds

PBND Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PBND Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PBND's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PBND's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day85.06k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month27.67k

PBND Technical Analysis

PBND's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PBND Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PBND. In general, you should focus on analyzing PBND Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PBND Predictive Forecast Models

PBND's time-series forecasting models is one of many PBND's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PBND's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PBND

Checking the ongoing alerts about PBND for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PBND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBND is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
PBND created five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 7.6% of its assets in bonds
When determining whether PBND is a strong investment it is important to analyze PBND's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PBND's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PBND Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
The market value of PBND is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PBND that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PBND's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PBND's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PBND's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PBND's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PBND's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PBND is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PBND's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.