Potbelly Co Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.37
| PBPB Stock | USD 10.20 0.12 1.19% |
Potbelly |
Potbelly Target Price Odds to finish below 6.37
The tendency of Potbelly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.37 or more in 90 days |
| 10.20 | 90 days | 6.37 | about 1.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Potbelly to drop to $ 6.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.3 (This Potbelly Co probability density function shows the probability of Potbelly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Potbelly price to stay between $ 6.37 and its current price of $10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.48 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.39 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Potbelly will likely underperform. Additionally Potbelly Co has an alpha of 0.1773, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Potbelly Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Potbelly
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Potbelly. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Potbelly Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Potbelly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Potbelly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Potbelly Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Potbelly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Potbelly Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Potbelly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Potbelly can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Potbelly had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Potbelly Co currently holds 186.99 M in liabilities. Potbelly has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Potbelly's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: I ordered the same turkey sandwich from Subway and Potbelly Sandwich Shop, and I preferred the cheaper option |
Potbelly Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Potbelly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Potbelly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Potbelly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.8 M |
Potbelly Technical Analysis
Potbelly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Potbelly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Potbelly Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Potbelly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Potbelly Predictive Forecast Models
Potbelly's time-series forecasting models is one of many Potbelly's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Potbelly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Potbelly
Checking the ongoing alerts about Potbelly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Potbelly help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Potbelly had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Potbelly Co currently holds 186.99 M in liabilities. Potbelly has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Potbelly's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: I ordered the same turkey sandwich from Subway and Potbelly Sandwich Shop, and I preferred the cheaper option |
Check out Potbelly Backtesting, Potbelly Valuation, Potbelly Correlation, Potbelly Hype Analysis, Potbelly Volatility, Potbelly History as well as Potbelly Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Potbelly. If investors know Potbelly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Potbelly listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.4 | Earnings Share 1.25 | Revenue Per Share 15.884 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0372 |
The market value of Potbelly is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Potbelly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Potbelly's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Potbelly's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Potbelly's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Potbelly's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Potbelly's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Potbelly is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Potbelly's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.