Prosiebensat1 Media Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.22
| PBSFY Stock | USD 1.18 0.03 2.61% |
ProSiebenSat1 |
ProSiebenSat1 Media Target Price Odds to finish below 1.22
The tendency of ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.22 after 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 1.22 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProSiebenSat1 Media to stay under $ 1.22 after 90 days from now is under 4 (This ProSiebenSat1 Media AG probability density function shows the probability of ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProSiebenSat1 Media price to stay between its current price of $ 1.18 and $ 1.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ProSiebenSat1 Media has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, ProSiebenSat1 Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ProSiebenSat1 Media AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ProSiebenSat1 Media AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ProSiebenSat1 Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ProSiebenSat1 Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProSiebenSat1 Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ProSiebenSat1 Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProSiebenSat1 Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProSiebenSat1 Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProSiebenSat1 Media AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProSiebenSat1 Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
ProSiebenSat1 Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProSiebenSat1 Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProSiebenSat1 Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ProSiebenSat1 Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ProSiebenSat1 Media may become a speculative penny stock |
ProSiebenSat1 Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProSiebenSat1 Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProSiebenSat1 Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 908.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 703 M |
ProSiebenSat1 Media Technical Analysis
ProSiebenSat1 Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProSiebenSat1 Media AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ProSiebenSat1 Media Predictive Forecast Models
ProSiebenSat1 Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProSiebenSat1 Media's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProSiebenSat1 Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ProSiebenSat1 Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about ProSiebenSat1 Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProSiebenSat1 Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ProSiebenSat1 Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ProSiebenSat1 Media may become a speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for ProSiebenSat1 Pink Sheet Analysis
When running ProSiebenSat1 Media's price analysis, check to measure ProSiebenSat1 Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ProSiebenSat1 Media is operating at the current time. Most of ProSiebenSat1 Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ProSiebenSat1 Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ProSiebenSat1 Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ProSiebenSat1 Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.