PC Connection (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.12

PCC Stock  EUR 68.50  1.00  1.44%   
PC Connection's future price is the expected price of PC Connection instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PC Connection performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PC Connection Backtesting, PC Connection Valuation, PC Connection Correlation, PC Connection Hype Analysis, PC Connection Volatility, PC Connection History as well as PC Connection Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in PCC Stock please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.
  
Please specify PC Connection's target price for which you would like PC Connection odds to be computed.

PC Connection Target Price Odds to finish below 59.12

The tendency of PCC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 59.12  or more in 90 days
 68.50 90 days 59.12 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PC Connection to drop to € 59.12  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PC Connection probability density function shows the probability of PCC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PC Connection price to stay between € 59.12  and its current price of €68.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.1 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PC Connection will likely underperform. Additionally PC Connection has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PC Connection Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PC Connection

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PC Connection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.3669.5071.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.7261.8676.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.5268.6670.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.6167.2968.96
Details

PC Connection Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PC Connection is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PC Connection's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PC Connection, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PC Connection within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.10
σ
Overall volatility
2.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.0039

PC Connection Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PC Connection for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PC Connection can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PC Connection Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PCC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PC Connection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PC Connection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.4 M

PC Connection Technical Analysis

PC Connection's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PCC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PC Connection. In general, you should focus on analyzing PCC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PC Connection Predictive Forecast Models

PC Connection's time-series forecasting models is one of many PC Connection's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PC Connection's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PC Connection

Checking the ongoing alerts about PC Connection for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PC Connection help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PCC Stock

When determining whether PC Connection offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PC Connection's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pc Connection Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pc Connection Stock:
Check out PC Connection Backtesting, PC Connection Valuation, PC Connection Correlation, PC Connection Hype Analysis, PC Connection Volatility, PC Connection History as well as PC Connection Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in PCC Stock please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PC Connection's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PC Connection is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PC Connection's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.