Pacific Basin Shipping Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.26

PCFBF Stock  USD 0.25  0.01  3.85%   
Pacific Basin's future price is the expected price of Pacific Basin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Basin Shipping performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Basin Backtesting, Pacific Basin Valuation, Pacific Basin Correlation, Pacific Basin Hype Analysis, Pacific Basin Volatility, Pacific Basin History as well as Pacific Basin Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Basin's target price for which you would like Pacific Basin odds to be computed.

Pacific Basin Target Price Odds to finish over 2.26

The tendency of Pacific Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2.26  or more in 90 days
 0.25 90 days 2.26 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Basin to move over $ 2.26  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Pacific Basin Shipping probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Basin Shipping price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25  and $ 2.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pacific Basin Shipping has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacific Basin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pacific Basin Shipping is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pacific Basin Shipping has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pacific Basin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Basin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Basin Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.252.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.222.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Basin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Basin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Basin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Basin Shipping.

Pacific Basin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Basin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Basin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Basin Shipping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Basin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Pacific Basin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Basin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Basin Shipping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Basin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacific Basin has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Pacific Basin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Basin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Basin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 B

Pacific Basin Technical Analysis

Pacific Basin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Basin Shipping. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Basin Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Basin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Basin's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Basin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Basin Shipping

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Basin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Basin Shipping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Basin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacific Basin has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet

Pacific Basin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Basin security.