Potlatchdeltic Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.96

PCH Stock  USD 44.05  0.67  1.54%   
PotlatchDeltic Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on PotlatchDeltic Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of PotlatchDeltic Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in PotlatchDeltic Corp over a specific time period. For example, PCH Option Call 20-12-2024 45 is a CALL option contract on PotlatchDeltic Corp's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 10:27:24 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All PotlatchDeltic options

Closest to current price PotlatchDeltic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

PotlatchDeltic Corp's future price is the expected price of PotlatchDeltic Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PotlatchDeltic Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PotlatchDeltic Corp Backtesting, PotlatchDeltic Corp Valuation, PotlatchDeltic Corp Correlation, PotlatchDeltic Corp Hype Analysis, PotlatchDeltic Corp Volatility, PotlatchDeltic Corp History as well as PotlatchDeltic Corp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in PotlatchDeltic Stock please use our How to Invest in PotlatchDeltic Corp guide.
  
As of now, PotlatchDeltic Corp's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The PotlatchDeltic Corp's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 109.97, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to (0.80). Please specify PotlatchDeltic Corp's target price for which you would like PotlatchDeltic Corp odds to be computed.

PotlatchDeltic Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 41.96

The tendency of PotlatchDeltic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 41.96  or more in 90 days
 44.05 90 days 41.96 
about 15.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PotlatchDeltic Corp to drop to $ 41.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.66 (This PotlatchDeltic Corp probability density function shows the probability of PotlatchDeltic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PotlatchDeltic Corp price to stay between $ 41.96  and its current price of $44.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.28 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PotlatchDeltic Corp has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, PotlatchDeltic Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PotlatchDeltic Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PotlatchDeltic Corp has an alpha of 0.0296, implying that it can generate a 0.0296 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PotlatchDeltic Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PotlatchDeltic Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PotlatchDeltic Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PotlatchDeltic Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.9843.3844.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.0449.8651.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.6543.0544.45
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.3156.3862.58
Details

PotlatchDeltic Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PotlatchDeltic Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PotlatchDeltic Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PotlatchDeltic Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PotlatchDeltic Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

PotlatchDeltic Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PotlatchDeltic Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PotlatchDeltic Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PotlatchDeltic Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PotlatchDeltic Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 783 shares by Eric Cremers of PotlatchDeltic Corp at 43.75 subject to Rule 16b-3

PotlatchDeltic Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PotlatchDeltic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PotlatchDeltic Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PotlatchDeltic Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments230.1 M

PotlatchDeltic Corp Technical Analysis

PotlatchDeltic Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PotlatchDeltic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PotlatchDeltic Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing PotlatchDeltic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PotlatchDeltic Corp Predictive Forecast Models

PotlatchDeltic Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many PotlatchDeltic Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PotlatchDeltic Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PotlatchDeltic Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about PotlatchDeltic Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PotlatchDeltic Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PotlatchDeltic Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PotlatchDeltic Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 783 shares by Eric Cremers of PotlatchDeltic Corp at 43.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether PotlatchDeltic Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PotlatchDeltic Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Potlatchdeltic Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Potlatchdeltic Corp Stock:
Is Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PotlatchDeltic Corp. If investors know PotlatchDeltic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PotlatchDeltic Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
0.2
Revenue Per Share
13.309
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of PotlatchDeltic Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PotlatchDeltic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PotlatchDeltic Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PotlatchDeltic Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PotlatchDeltic Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PotlatchDeltic Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PotlatchDeltic Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PotlatchDeltic Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PotlatchDeltic Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.