Pancontinental Oil Gas Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.009975

PCOGF Stock  USD 0.01  0  12.50%   
Pancontinental Oil's future price is the expected price of Pancontinental Oil instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pancontinental Oil Gas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pancontinental Oil Backtesting, Pancontinental Oil Valuation, Pancontinental Oil Correlation, Pancontinental Oil Hype Analysis, Pancontinental Oil Volatility, Pancontinental Oil History as well as Pancontinental Oil Performance.
  
Please specify Pancontinental Oil's target price for which you would like Pancontinental Oil odds to be computed.

Pancontinental Oil Target Price Odds to finish over 0.009975

The tendency of Pancontinental Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 86.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pancontinental Oil to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 86.36 (This Pancontinental Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Pancontinental Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pancontinental Oil Gas price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.014 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pancontinental Oil Gas has a beta of -1.01 indicating Moreover Pancontinental Oil Gas has an alpha of 1.1288, implying that it can generate a 1.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pancontinental Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pancontinental Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pancontinental Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0113.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0113.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0113.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pancontinental Oil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pancontinental Oil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pancontinental Oil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pancontinental Oil Gas.

Pancontinental Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pancontinental Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pancontinental Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pancontinental Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pancontinental Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.01
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Pancontinental Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pancontinental Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pancontinental Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pancontinental Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pancontinental Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pancontinental Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (821.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pancontinental Oil Gas has accumulated about 274.05 K in cash with (1.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pancontinental Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pancontinental Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pancontinental Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pancontinental Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 B

Pancontinental Oil Technical Analysis

Pancontinental Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pancontinental Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pancontinental Oil Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pancontinental Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pancontinental Oil Predictive Forecast Models

Pancontinental Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pancontinental Oil's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pancontinental Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pancontinental Oil Gas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pancontinental Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pancontinental Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pancontinental Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pancontinental Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pancontinental Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (821.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pancontinental Oil Gas has accumulated about 274.05 K in cash with (1.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pancontinental Pink Sheet

Pancontinental Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pancontinental Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pancontinental with respect to the benefits of owning Pancontinental Oil security.