Putnam California Tax Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.44

PCTBX Fund  USD 7.47  0.00  0.00%   
Putnam California's future price is the expected price of Putnam California instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Putnam California Tax performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Putnam California Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Putnam California Correlation, Putnam California Hype Analysis, Putnam California Volatility, Putnam California History as well as Putnam California Performance.
  
Please specify Putnam California's target price for which you would like Putnam California odds to be computed.

Putnam California Target Price Odds to finish below 7.44

The tendency of Putnam Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.44  or more in 90 days
 7.47 90 days 7.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putnam California to drop to $ 7.44  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Putnam California Tax probability density function shows the probability of Putnam Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putnam California Tax price to stay between $ 7.44  and its current price of $7.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Putnam California has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero indicating the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Putnam California do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Putnam California's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Putnam California Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Putnam California

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam California Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.447.477.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.447.477.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.447.477.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.477.477.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Putnam California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Putnam California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Putnam California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Putnam California Tax.

Putnam California Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putnam California is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putnam California's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putnam California Tax, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putnam California within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -2.6

Putnam California Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putnam California for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putnam California Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Putnam California Tax maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Putnam California Technical Analysis

Putnam California's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putnam Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putnam California Tax. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putnam Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Putnam California Predictive Forecast Models

Putnam California's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putnam California's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putnam California's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Putnam California Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Putnam California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putnam California Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Putnam California Tax maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Putnam Mutual Fund

Putnam California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putnam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putnam with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam California security.
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