Invesco Ftse Rafi Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 32.64
| PDN Etf | USD 32.66 0.19 0.59% |
Invesco |
Invesco FTSE Target Price Odds to finish below 32.64
The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 32.64 or more in 90 days |
| 32.66 | 90 days | 32.64 | about 10.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco FTSE to drop to $ 32.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.12 (This Invesco FTSE RAFI probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco FTSE RAFI price to stay between $ 32.64 and its current price of $32.66 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco FTSE has a beta of 0.47 indicating as returns on the market go up, Invesco FTSE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco FTSE RAFI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco FTSE RAFI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Invesco FTSE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Invesco FTSE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco FTSE RAFI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco FTSE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco FTSE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco FTSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco FTSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco FTSE RAFI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco FTSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Invesco FTSE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco FTSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco FTSE RAFI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco FTSE RAFI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FCUUF Paladin Merger Faces Extended Security Review in Canada | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Invesco FTSE RAFI maintains 99.82% of its assets in stocks |
Invesco FTSE Technical Analysis
Invesco FTSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco FTSE RAFI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco FTSE Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco FTSE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco FTSE's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco FTSE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco FTSE RAFI
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco FTSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco FTSE RAFI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invesco FTSE RAFI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FCUUF Paladin Merger Faces Extended Security Review in Canada | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Invesco FTSE RAFI maintains 99.82% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Invesco FTSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco FTSE Correlation, Invesco FTSE Hype Analysis, Invesco FTSE Volatility, Invesco FTSE History as well as Invesco FTSE Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of Invesco FTSE RAFI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.