Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.75
| PEB Stock | USD 14.53 0.27 1.82% |
Pebblebrook |
Pebblebrook Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 14.75
The tendency of Pebblebrook Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 14.75 after 90 days |
| 14.53 | 90 days | 14.75 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pebblebrook Hotel to stay under $ 14.75 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Pebblebrook Hotel Trust probability density function shows the probability of Pebblebrook Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 14.53 and $ 14.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pebblebrook Hotel has a beta of 0.36 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pebblebrook Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pebblebrook Hotel Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has an alpha of 0.2091, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pebblebrook Hotel Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pebblebrook Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pebblebrook Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pebblebrook Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pebblebrook Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pebblebrook Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pebblebrook Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pebblebrook Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.42 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (74.28 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 382.28 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estancia La Jolla Hotel Spa upgrades payment processes with ROH platform |
Pebblebrook Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pebblebrook Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pebblebrook Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pebblebrook Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 183.7 M |
Pebblebrook Hotel Technical Analysis
Pebblebrook Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pebblebrook Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pebblebrook Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pebblebrook Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Pebblebrook Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pebblebrook Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pebblebrook Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pebblebrook Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.42 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (74.28 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 382.28 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estancia La Jolla Hotel Spa upgrades payment processes with ROH platform |
Check out Pebblebrook Hotel Backtesting, Pebblebrook Hotel Valuation, Pebblebrook Hotel Correlation, Pebblebrook Hotel Hype Analysis, Pebblebrook Hotel Volatility, Pebblebrook Hotel History as well as Pebblebrook Hotel Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pebblebrook Hotel. If investors know Pebblebrook will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pebblebrook Hotel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share (0.25) | Revenue Per Share 12.085 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 |
The market value of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pebblebrook that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pebblebrook Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pebblebrook Hotel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pebblebrook Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pebblebrook Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pebblebrook Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pebblebrook Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pebblebrook Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.