Delfi Limited Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.79

PEFDF Stock  USD 0.64  0.00  0.00%   
Delfi's future price is the expected price of Delfi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delfi Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delfi Backtesting, Delfi Valuation, Delfi Correlation, Delfi Hype Analysis, Delfi Volatility, Delfi History as well as Delfi Performance.
  
Please specify Delfi's target price for which you would like Delfi odds to be computed.

Delfi Target Price Odds to finish over 1.79

The tendency of Delfi Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.79  or more in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 1.79 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delfi to move over $ 1.79  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Delfi Limited probability density function shows the probability of Delfi Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delfi Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.64  and $ 1.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delfi has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Delfi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Delfi Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delfi Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Delfi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delfi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delfi Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delfi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.641.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.551.73
Details

Delfi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delfi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delfi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delfi Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delfi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0002
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Delfi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delfi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delfi Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delfi Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Delfi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delfi Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delfi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delfi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding611.2 M

Delfi Technical Analysis

Delfi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delfi Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delfi Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delfi Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delfi Predictive Forecast Models

Delfi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delfi's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delfi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delfi Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delfi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delfi Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delfi Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Delfi Pink Sheet

Delfi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delfi Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delfi with respect to the benefits of owning Delfi security.