Pimco Capital Sec Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.18

PFANX Fund  USD 9.33  0.01  0.11%   
Pimco Capital's future price is the expected price of Pimco Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Capital Sec performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Capital Correlation, Pimco Capital Hype Analysis, Pimco Capital Volatility, Pimco Capital History as well as Pimco Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Pimco Capital's target price for which you would like Pimco Capital odds to be computed.

Pimco Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 9.18

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.18  or more in 90 days
 9.33 90 days 9.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Capital to drop to $ 9.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pimco Capital Sec probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Capital Sec price to stay between $ 9.18  and its current price of $9.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Capital has a beta of 0.0201 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Capital Sec will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Capital Sec has an alpha of 0.0122, implying that it can generate a 0.0122 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pimco Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Capital Sec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.209.339.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.458.5810.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.189.319.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.329.339.34
Details

Pimco Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Capital Sec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.84

Pimco Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Capital Sec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.39% of its assets in bonds

Pimco Capital Technical Analysis

Pimco Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Capital Sec. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Capital Sec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Capital Sec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.39% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Capital security.
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