Petrofrontier Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.045

PFC Stock  CAD 0.04  0.01  16.67%   
PetroFrontier Corp's future price is the expected price of PetroFrontier Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PetroFrontier Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PetroFrontier Corp Backtesting, PetroFrontier Corp Valuation, PetroFrontier Corp Correlation, PetroFrontier Corp Hype Analysis, PetroFrontier Corp Volatility, PetroFrontier Corp History as well as PetroFrontier Corp Performance.
  
Please specify PetroFrontier Corp's target price for which you would like PetroFrontier Corp odds to be computed.

PetroFrontier Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.045

The tendency of PetroFrontier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under C$ 0.04  after 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 28.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PetroFrontier Corp to stay under C$ 0.04  after 90 days from now is about 28.29 (This PetroFrontier Corp probability density function shows the probability of PetroFrontier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PetroFrontier Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.04  and C$ 0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PetroFrontier Corp has a beta of 0.82 indicating as returns on the market go up, PetroFrontier Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PetroFrontier Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PetroFrontier Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PetroFrontier Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PetroFrontier Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PetroFrontier Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0411.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0311.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.0411.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details

PetroFrontier Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PetroFrontier Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PetroFrontier Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PetroFrontier Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PetroFrontier Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0069

PetroFrontier Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PetroFrontier Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PetroFrontier Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetroFrontier Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PetroFrontier Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PetroFrontier Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PetroFrontier Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
PetroFrontier Corp has accumulated 1.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PetroFrontier Corp has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PetroFrontier Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PetroFrontier Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PetroFrontier Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PetroFrontier to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PetroFrontier Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (109.34 K).
About 67.0% of PetroFrontier Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: PetroFrontier Secures 15.1 Million Funding Deal - TipRanks

PetroFrontier Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PetroFrontier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PetroFrontier Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PetroFrontier Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding233.7 M

PetroFrontier Corp Technical Analysis

PetroFrontier Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PetroFrontier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PetroFrontier Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing PetroFrontier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PetroFrontier Corp Predictive Forecast Models

PetroFrontier Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many PetroFrontier Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PetroFrontier Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PetroFrontier Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about PetroFrontier Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PetroFrontier Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetroFrontier Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PetroFrontier Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PetroFrontier Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PetroFrontier Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
PetroFrontier Corp has accumulated 1.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PetroFrontier Corp has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PetroFrontier Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PetroFrontier Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PetroFrontier Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PetroFrontier to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PetroFrontier Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (109.34 K).
About 67.0% of PetroFrontier Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: PetroFrontier Secures 15.1 Million Funding Deal - TipRanks

Additional Tools for PetroFrontier Stock Analysis

When running PetroFrontier Corp's price analysis, check to measure PetroFrontier Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PetroFrontier Corp is operating at the current time. Most of PetroFrontier Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PetroFrontier Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PetroFrontier Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PetroFrontier Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.