Flaherty Crumrine Preferred Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 9.56
| PFO Fund | USD 9.19 0.05 0.55% |
Flaherty |
Flaherty Crumrine Target Price Odds to finish over 9.56
The tendency of Flaherty Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.56 or more in 90 days |
| 9.19 | 90 days | 9.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flaherty Crumrine to move over $ 9.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Flaherty Crumrine Preferred probability density function shows the probability of Flaherty Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flaherty Crumrine price to stay between its current price of $ 9.19 and $ 9.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flaherty Crumrine has a beta of 0.16 indicating as returns on the market go up, Flaherty Crumrine average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flaherty Crumrine Preferred will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flaherty Crumrine Preferred has an alpha of 0.0252, implying that it can generate a 0.0252 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Flaherty Crumrine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flaherty Crumrine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flaherty Crumrine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flaherty Crumrine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flaherty Crumrine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flaherty Crumrine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flaherty Crumrine Preferred, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flaherty Crumrine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Flaherty Crumrine Technical Analysis
Flaherty Crumrine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flaherty Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flaherty Crumrine Preferred. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flaherty Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flaherty Crumrine Predictive Forecast Models
Flaherty Crumrine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flaherty Crumrine's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flaherty Crumrine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Flaherty Crumrine in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Flaherty Crumrine's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Flaherty Crumrine options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Flaherty Fund
Flaherty Crumrine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flaherty Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flaherty with respect to the benefits of owning Flaherty Crumrine security.
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