Vaneck Preferred Securities Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 18.28
| PFXF Etf | USD 18.28 0.02 0.11% |
Closest to current price VanEck long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
VanEck Preferred Target Price Odds to finish over 18.28
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.28 | 90 days | 18.28 | about 8.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Preferred to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.76 (This VanEck Preferred Securities probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Preferred has a beta of 0.45 indicating as returns on the market go up, VanEck Preferred average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Preferred Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Preferred Securities has an alpha of 0.0264, implying that it can generate a 0.0264 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VanEck Preferred Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Preferred
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Preferred Sec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Preferred's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Preferred Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Preferred is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Preferred's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Preferred Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Preferred within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
VanEck Preferred Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Preferred for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Preferred Sec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: FTLSs Holdings Could Mean 15 percent Gain Potential - Nasdaq | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
VanEck Preferred Technical Analysis
VanEck Preferred's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Preferred Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Preferred Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Preferred's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Preferred's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Preferred's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Preferred Sec
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Preferred for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Preferred Sec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FTLSs Holdings Could Mean 15 percent Gain Potential - Nasdaq | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Check out VanEck Preferred Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Preferred Correlation, VanEck Preferred Hype Analysis, VanEck Preferred Volatility, VanEck Preferred Price History as well as VanEck Preferred Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
The market value of VanEck Preferred Sec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Preferred's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Preferred's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because VanEck Preferred's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Preferred's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between VanEck Preferred's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding VanEck Preferred should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, VanEck Preferred's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.