Procter Gamble Cdr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.74
| PG Stock | 30.72 0.01 0.03% |
PROCTER |
PROCTER GAMBLE Target Price Odds to finish over 31.74
The tendency of PROCTER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 31.74 or more in 90 days |
| 30.72 | 90 days | 31.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PROCTER GAMBLE to move over 31.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PROCTER GAMBLE CDR probability density function shows the probability of PROCTER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PROCTER GAMBLE CDR price to stay between its current price of 30.72 and 31.74 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PROCTER GAMBLE has a beta of 0.0774 indicating as returns on the market go up, PROCTER GAMBLE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PROCTER GAMBLE CDR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PROCTER GAMBLE CDR has an alpha of 0.0771, implying that it can generate a 0.0771 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PROCTER GAMBLE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PROCTER GAMBLE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROCTER GAMBLE CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PROCTER GAMBLE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PROCTER GAMBLE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PROCTER GAMBLE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PROCTER GAMBLE CDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PROCTER GAMBLE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
PROCTER GAMBLE Technical Analysis
PROCTER GAMBLE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PROCTER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PROCTER GAMBLE CDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing PROCTER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PROCTER GAMBLE Predictive Forecast Models
PROCTER GAMBLE's time-series forecasting models is one of many PROCTER GAMBLE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PROCTER GAMBLE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PROCTER GAMBLE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PROCTER GAMBLE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PROCTER GAMBLE options trading.
Other Information on Investing in PROCTER Stock
PROCTER GAMBLE financial ratios help investors to determine whether PROCTER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PROCTER with respect to the benefits of owning PROCTER GAMBLE security.