Prnpl Inv Fd Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 4.90

PGEIX Fund  USD 8.88  0.21  2.42%   
Prnpl Inv's future price is the expected price of Prnpl Inv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prnpl Inv Fd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prnpl Inv Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Prnpl Inv Correlation, Prnpl Inv Hype Analysis, Prnpl Inv Volatility, Prnpl Inv History as well as Prnpl Inv Performance.
  
Please specify Prnpl Inv's target price for which you would like Prnpl Inv odds to be computed.

Prnpl Inv Target Price Odds to finish below 4.90

The tendency of Prnpl Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.90  or more in 90 days
 8.88 90 days 4.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prnpl Inv to drop to $ 4.90  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prnpl Inv Fd probability density function shows the probability of Prnpl Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prnpl Inv Fd price to stay between $ 4.90  and its current price of $8.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prnpl Inv Fd has a beta of -0.12 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prnpl Inv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prnpl Inv Fd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prnpl Inv Fd has an alpha of 0.2448, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prnpl Inv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prnpl Inv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prnpl Inv Fd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.678.8810.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.118.329.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.829.0210.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.328.588.84
Details

Prnpl Inv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prnpl Inv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prnpl Inv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prnpl Inv Fd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prnpl Inv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Prnpl Inv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prnpl Inv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prnpl Inv Fd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prnpl Inv Fd generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains 97.56% of its assets in stocks

Prnpl Inv Technical Analysis

Prnpl Inv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prnpl Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prnpl Inv Fd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prnpl Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prnpl Inv Predictive Forecast Models

Prnpl Inv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prnpl Inv's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prnpl Inv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prnpl Inv Fd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prnpl Inv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prnpl Inv Fd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prnpl Inv Fd generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains 97.56% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Prnpl Mutual Fund

Prnpl Inv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prnpl Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prnpl with respect to the benefits of owning Prnpl Inv security.
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