Partners Group (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1246.55

PGHN Stock  CHF 1,251  9.50  0.75%   
Partners Group's future price is the expected price of Partners Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Partners Group Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Partners Group Backtesting, Partners Group Valuation, Partners Group Correlation, Partners Group Hype Analysis, Partners Group Volatility, Partners Group History as well as Partners Group Performance.
  
Please specify Partners Group's target price for which you would like Partners Group odds to be computed.

Partners Group Target Price Odds to finish over 1246.55

The tendency of Partners Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above ₣ 1,247  in 90 days
 1,251 90 days 1,247 
about 35.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Partners Group to stay above ₣ 1,247  in 90 days from now is about 35.39 (This Partners Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Partners Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Partners Group Holding price to stay between ₣ 1,247  and its current price of ₣1251.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Partners Group will likely underperform. Additionally Partners Group Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Partners Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Partners Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Partners Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2491,2511,253
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1491,1511,376
Details

Partners Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Partners Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Partners Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Partners Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Partners Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.43
σ
Overall volatility
51.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Partners Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Partners Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Partners Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Partners Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Partners Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Partners Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Partners Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments910.7 M

Partners Group Technical Analysis

Partners Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Partners Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Partners Group Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Partners Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Partners Group Predictive Forecast Models

Partners Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Partners Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Partners Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Partners Group Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Partners Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Partners Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Partners Stock Analysis

When running Partners Group's price analysis, check to measure Partners Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Partners Group is operating at the current time. Most of Partners Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Partners Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Partners Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Partners Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.