Pembangunan Graha (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 188.88
| PGLI Stock | IDR 193.00 2.00 1.05% |
Pembangunan |
Pembangunan Graha Target Price Odds to finish over 188.88
The tendency of Pembangunan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 188.88 in 90 days |
| 193.00 | 90 days | 188.88 | about 23.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pembangunan Graha to stay above 188.88 in 90 days from now is about 23.86 (This Pembangunan Graha Lestari probability density function shows the probability of Pembangunan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pembangunan Graha Lestari price to stay between 188.88 and its current price of 193.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pembangunan Graha Lestari has a beta of -0.79 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pembangunan Graha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pembangunan Graha Lestari is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Pembangunan Graha Lestari has an alpha of 1.0116, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pembangunan Graha Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pembangunan Graha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pembangunan Graha Lestari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pembangunan Graha Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pembangunan Graha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pembangunan Graha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pembangunan Graha Lestari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pembangunan Graha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Pembangunan Graha Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pembangunan Graha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pembangunan Graha Lestari can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pembangunan Graha is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pembangunan Graha appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pembangunan Graha Lestari has accumulated about 7.79 B in cash with (679.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pembangunan Graha Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pembangunan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pembangunan Graha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pembangunan Graha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 488 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 B |
Pembangunan Graha Technical Analysis
Pembangunan Graha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pembangunan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pembangunan Graha Lestari. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pembangunan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pembangunan Graha Predictive Forecast Models
Pembangunan Graha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pembangunan Graha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pembangunan Graha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pembangunan Graha Lestari
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pembangunan Graha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pembangunan Graha Lestari help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pembangunan Graha is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pembangunan Graha appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pembangunan Graha Lestari has accumulated about 7.79 B in cash with (679.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pembangunan Stock
Pembangunan Graha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pembangunan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pembangunan with respect to the benefits of owning Pembangunan Graha security.