Paragon Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.36

PGNT Stock  USD 8.00  0.16  2.04%   
Paragon Technologies' future price is the expected price of Paragon Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Paragon Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Paragon Technologies Backtesting, Paragon Technologies Valuation, Paragon Technologies Correlation, Paragon Technologies Hype Analysis, Paragon Technologies Volatility, Paragon Technologies History as well as Paragon Technologies Performance.
  
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Paragon Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 17.36

The tendency of Paragon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.36  or more in 90 days
 8.00 90 days 17.36 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paragon Technologies to move over $ 17.36  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Paragon Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Paragon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paragon Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 8.00  and $ 17.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.33 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Paragon Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Paragon Technologies has an alpha of 0.1248, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Paragon Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Paragon Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paragon Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.328.0011.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.626.309.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.318.0011.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.377.178.98
Details

Paragon Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paragon Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paragon Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paragon Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paragon Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Paragon Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paragon Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paragon Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paragon Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Paragon Technologies Technical Analysis

Paragon Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paragon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paragon Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paragon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Paragon Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Paragon Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Paragon Technologies' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paragon Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Paragon Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Paragon Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paragon Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paragon Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Paragon Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Paragon Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Paragon Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paragon Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Paragon Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paragon Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paragon Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paragon Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.