Pegasus Hava (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 231.03
| PGSUS Stock | TRY 217.80 0.80 0.37% |
Pegasus |
Pegasus Hava Target Price Odds to finish over 231.03
The tendency of Pegasus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 231.03 or more in 90 days |
| 217.80 | 90 days | 231.03 | about 65.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pegasus Hava to move over 231.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.88 (This Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi probability density function shows the probability of Pegasus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi price to stay between its current price of 217.80 and 231.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pegasus Hava has a beta of 0.85 indicating Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Pegasus Hava is expected to follow. Additionally Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pegasus Hava Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pegasus Hava
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pegasus Hava's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pegasus Hava Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pegasus Hava is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pegasus Hava's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pegasus Hava within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Pegasus Hava Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pegasus Hava for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pegasus Hava generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pegasus Hava has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi has accumulated 4.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 254.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pegasus Hava until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pegasus Hava's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pegasus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pegasus Hava's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 10.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.97 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.54 M. | |
| About 57.0% of Pegasus Hava outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pegasus Hava Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pegasus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pegasus Hava's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pegasus Hava's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.3 M |
Pegasus Hava Technical Analysis
Pegasus Hava's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pegasus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pegasus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pegasus Hava Predictive Forecast Models
Pegasus Hava's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pegasus Hava's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pegasus Hava's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pegasus Hava for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pegasus Hava generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pegasus Hava has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi has accumulated 4.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 254.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pegasus Hava until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pegasus Hava's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pegasus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pegasus Hava's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 10.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.97 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.54 M. | |
| About 57.0% of Pegasus Hava outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pegasus Stock
Pegasus Hava financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pegasus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pegasus with respect to the benefits of owning Pegasus Hava security.