Pt Pradiksi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 423.01
| PGUN Stock | IDR 424.00 0.00 0.00% |
PGUN |
Pt Pradiksi Target Price Odds to finish below 423.01
The tendency of PGUN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 423.01 or more in 90 days |
| 424.00 | 90 days | 423.01 | about 40.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pt Pradiksi to drop to 423.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.09 (This Pt Pradiksi Gunatama probability density function shows the probability of PGUN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama price to stay between 423.01 and its current price of 424.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has a beta of -0.19 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pt Pradiksi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pt Pradiksi Gunatama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has an alpha of 0.2143, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pt Pradiksi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pt Pradiksi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pt Pradiksi Gunatama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pt Pradiksi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pt Pradiksi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pt Pradiksi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pt Pradiksi Gunatama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pt Pradiksi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Pt Pradiksi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pt Pradiksi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pt Pradiksi Gunatama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has accumulated 691.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pt Pradiksi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pt Pradiksi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pt Pradiksi Gunatama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PGUN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pt Pradiksi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 81.0% of Pt Pradiksi outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pt Pradiksi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PGUN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pt Pradiksi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pt Pradiksi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 B |
Pt Pradiksi Technical Analysis
Pt Pradiksi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PGUN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama. In general, you should focus on analyzing PGUN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pt Pradiksi Predictive Forecast Models
Pt Pradiksi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pt Pradiksi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pt Pradiksi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pt Pradiksi Gunatama
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pt Pradiksi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pt Pradiksi Gunatama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has accumulated 691.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pt Pradiksi Gunatama has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pt Pradiksi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pt Pradiksi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pt Pradiksi Gunatama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PGUN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pt Pradiksi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 81.0% of Pt Pradiksi outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in PGUN Stock
Pt Pradiksi financial ratios help investors to determine whether PGUN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PGUN with respect to the benefits of owning Pt Pradiksi security.