Pakistan Hotel (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.78
| PHDL Stock | 42.34 0.92 2.22% |
Pakistan |
Pakistan Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 37.78
The tendency of Pakistan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 37.78 or more in 90 days |
| 42.34 | 90 days | 37.78 | about 20.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pakistan Hotel to drop to 37.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.48 (This Pakistan Hotel Developers probability density function shows the probability of Pakistan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pakistan Hotel Developers price to stay between 37.78 and its current price of 42.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pakistan Hotel Developers has a beta of -0.0675 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pakistan Hotel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pakistan Hotel Developers is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pakistan Hotel Developers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pakistan Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pakistan Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pakistan Hotel Developers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pakistan Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pakistan Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pakistan Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pakistan Hotel Developers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pakistan Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Pakistan Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pakistan Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pakistan Hotel Developers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pakistan Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pakistan Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Pakistan Hotel Technical Analysis
Pakistan Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pakistan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pakistan Hotel Developers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pakistan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pakistan Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Pakistan Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pakistan Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pakistan Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pakistan Hotel Developers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pakistan Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pakistan Hotel Developers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pakistan Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pakistan Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance |