Pacific Horizon (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 604.24

PHI Stock   562.00  4.00  0.71%   
Pacific Horizon's future price is the expected price of Pacific Horizon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Horizon Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Horizon Backtesting, Pacific Horizon Valuation, Pacific Horizon Correlation, Pacific Horizon Hype Analysis, Pacific Horizon Volatility, Pacific Horizon History as well as Pacific Horizon Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Horizon's target price for which you would like Pacific Horizon odds to be computed.

Pacific Horizon Target Price Odds to finish over 604.24

The tendency of Pacific Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  604.24  or more in 90 days
 562.00 90 days 604.24 
roughly 2.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Horizon to move over  604.24  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.72 (This Pacific Horizon Investment probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Horizon Inve price to stay between its current price of  562.00  and  604.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pacific Horizon has a beta of 0.27 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pacific Horizon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacific Horizon Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pacific Horizon Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pacific Horizon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Horizon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Horizon Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
561.35562.21563.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
443.12443.98618.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
548.17549.03549.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
560.25565.10569.95
Details

Pacific Horizon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Horizon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Horizon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Horizon Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Horizon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
14.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Pacific Horizon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Horizon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Horizon Inve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Horizon Inve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacific Horizon generates negative cash flow from operations
On 28th of November 2024 Pacific Horizon paid 0.0265 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pacific Horizon Adjusts Treasury with Share Buyback - TipRanks

Pacific Horizon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Horizon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Horizon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 M

Pacific Horizon Technical Analysis

Pacific Horizon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Horizon Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Horizon Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Horizon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Horizon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Horizon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Horizon Inve

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Horizon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Horizon Inve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Horizon Inve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacific Horizon generates negative cash flow from operations
On 28th of November 2024 Pacific Horizon paid 0.0265 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pacific Horizon Adjusts Treasury with Share Buyback - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Stock

Pacific Horizon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Horizon security.