ROYPHILIPS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.81
| PHI1 Stock | EUR 25.62 0.28 1.08% |
ROYPHILIPS |
ROYPHILIPS Target Price Odds to finish over 27.81
The tendency of ROYPHILIPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 27.81 or more in 90 days |
| 25.62 | 90 days | 27.81 | about 36.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROYPHILIPS to move over € 27.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.55 (This ROYPHILIPS probability density function shows the probability of ROYPHILIPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ROYPHILIPS price to stay between its current price of € 25.62 and € 27.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ROYPHILIPS has a beta of 0.4 indicating as returns on the market go up, ROYPHILIPS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ROYPHILIPS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ROYPHILIPS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ROYPHILIPS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ROYPHILIPS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROYPHILIPS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ROYPHILIPS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROYPHILIPS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROYPHILIPS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROYPHILIPS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROYPHILIPS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
ROYPHILIPS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ROYPHILIPS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROYPHILIPS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ROYPHILIPS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ROYPHILIPS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 17.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.61 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ROYPHILIPS generates negative cash flow from operations |
ROYPHILIPS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ROYPHILIPS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ROYPHILIPS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROYPHILIPS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 881.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 95 M |
ROYPHILIPS Technical Analysis
ROYPHILIPS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROYPHILIPS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROYPHILIPS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROYPHILIPS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ROYPHILIPS Predictive Forecast Models
ROYPHILIPS's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROYPHILIPS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROYPHILIPS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ROYPHILIPS
Checking the ongoing alerts about ROYPHILIPS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROYPHILIPS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ROYPHILIPS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ROYPHILIPS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 17.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.61 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ROYPHILIPS generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in ROYPHILIPS Stock
ROYPHILIPS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROYPHILIPS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROYPHILIPS with respect to the benefits of owning ROYPHILIPS security.