Prudential Muni High Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.33
| PHICX Fund | USD 9.57 0.01 0.10% |
Prudential |
Prudential Muni Target Price Odds to finish below 9.33
The tendency of Prudential Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.33 or more in 90 days |
| 9.57 | 90 days | 9.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Muni to drop to $ 9.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prudential Muni High probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prudential Muni High price to stay between $ 9.33 and its current price of $9.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prudential Muni has a beta of 0.0504 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prudential Muni average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prudential Muni High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prudential Muni High has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prudential Muni Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prudential Muni
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Muni High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prudential Muni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Prudential Muni Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prudential Muni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prudential Muni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prudential Muni High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prudential Muni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0093 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.45 |
Prudential Muni Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prudential Muni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prudential Muni High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Prudential Muni High maintains about 7.91% of its assets in bonds |
Prudential Muni Technical Analysis
Prudential Muni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prudential Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prudential Muni High. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prudential Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prudential Muni Predictive Forecast Models
Prudential Muni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prudential Muni's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prudential Muni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prudential Muni High
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Muni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Muni High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Prudential Muni High maintains about 7.91% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Prudential Mutual Fund
Prudential Muni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prudential Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prudential with respect to the benefits of owning Prudential Muni security.
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