Phi Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.23E-4

PHIL Stock  USD 0.0002  0.0001  100.00%   
PHI's future price is the expected price of PHI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PHI Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PHI Backtesting, PHI Valuation, PHI Correlation, PHI Hype Analysis, PHI Volatility, PHI History as well as PHI Performance.
  
Please specify PHI's target price for which you would like PHI odds to be computed.

PHI Target Price Odds to finish below 1.23E-4

The tendency of PHI Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0001  or more in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.0001 
about 8.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHI to drop to $ 0.0001  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.63 (This PHI Group probability density function shows the probability of PHI Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHI Group price to stay between $ 0.0001  and its current price of $2.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PHI Group has a beta of -7.46 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding PHI Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, PHI is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that PHI Group has an alpha of 7.7597, implying that it can generate a 7.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PHI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PHI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHI Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000240.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000240.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000050.000240.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

PHI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHI Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
7.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-7.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.000069
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

PHI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PHI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PHI Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PHI Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PHI Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PHI Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
PHI Group currently holds 2.51 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 49.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PHI Group has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist PHI until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PHI's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PHI Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PHI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PHI's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 30 K. Net Loss for the year was (21.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30 K.
PHI Group currently holds about 4.11 M in cash with (1.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

PHI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PHI Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PHI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PHI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 B

PHI Technical Analysis

PHI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHI Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHI Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHI Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PHI Predictive Forecast Models

PHI's time-series forecasting models is one of many PHI's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PHI Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about PHI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PHI Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PHI Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PHI Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PHI Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
PHI Group currently holds 2.51 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 49.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PHI Group has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist PHI until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PHI's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PHI Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PHI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PHI's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 30 K. Net Loss for the year was (21.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30 K.
PHI Group currently holds about 4.11 M in cash with (1.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in PHI Pink Sheet

PHI financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHI with respect to the benefits of owning PHI security.