Phoenix Holdings (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3696.23
| PHOE Stock | ILS 4,654 106.00 2.23% |
Phoenix |
Phoenix Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3696.23
The tendency of Phoenix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 3,696 or more in 90 days |
| 4,654 | 90 days | 3,696 | about 21.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phoenix Holdings to drop to S 3,696 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.01 (This The Phoenix Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Phoenix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phoenix Holdings price to stay between S 3,696 and its current price of S4654.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phoenix Holdings has a beta of 0.35 indicating as returns on the market go up, Phoenix Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Phoenix Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Phoenix Holdings has an alpha of 0.3104, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Phoenix Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phoenix Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phoenix Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phoenix Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phoenix Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Phoenix Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phoenix Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 345.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Phoenix Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phoenix Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phoenix Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has S5.48 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Phoenix Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phoenix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phoenix Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 256.5 M |
Phoenix Holdings Technical Analysis
Phoenix Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phoenix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Phoenix Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phoenix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phoenix Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Phoenix Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Phoenix Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phoenix Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phoenix Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phoenix Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phoenix Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has S5.48 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Phoenix Stock
Phoenix Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Phoenix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Phoenix with respect to the benefits of owning Phoenix Holdings security.