Phreesia Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.40
| PHR Stock | USD 21.03 0.73 3.60% |
Phreesia |
Phreesia Target Price Odds to finish below 15.40
The tendency of Phreesia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.40 or more in 90 days |
| 21.03 | 90 days | 15.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phreesia to drop to $ 15.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Phreesia probability density function shows the probability of Phreesia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phreesia price to stay between $ 15.40 and its current price of $21.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.47 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.05 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Phreesia will likely underperform. Additionally Phreesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Phreesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phreesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phreesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phreesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phreesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phreesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phreesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phreesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Phreesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phreesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phreesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phreesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Phreesia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 356.3 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (136.88 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 171.64 M. | |
| Phreesia has about 176.68 M in cash with (32.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.58. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Phreesia Named to The Software Reports Top 100 Software Compan |
Phreesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phreesia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phreesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phreesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.5 M |
Phreesia Technical Analysis
Phreesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phreesia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phreesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phreesia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phreesia Predictive Forecast Models
Phreesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phreesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phreesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phreesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phreesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phreesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phreesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Phreesia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 356.3 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (136.88 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 171.64 M. | |
| Phreesia has about 176.68 M in cash with (32.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.58. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Phreesia Named to The Software Reports Top 100 Software Compan |
Additional Tools for Phreesia Stock Analysis
When running Phreesia's price analysis, check to measure Phreesia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phreesia is operating at the current time. Most of Phreesia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phreesia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phreesia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phreesia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.