Pnc Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.34

PIEFX Fund  USD 15.84  0.12  0.76%   
Pnc Emerging's future price is the expected price of Pnc Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pnc Emerging Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pnc Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pnc Emerging Correlation, Pnc Emerging Hype Analysis, Pnc Emerging Volatility, Pnc Emerging History as well as Pnc Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Pnc Emerging's target price for which you would like Pnc Emerging odds to be computed.

Pnc Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 14.34

The tendency of Pnc Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.34  or more in 90 days
 15.84 90 days 14.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pnc Emerging to drop to $ 14.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pnc Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Pnc Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pnc Emerging Markets price to stay between $ 14.34  and its current price of $15.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pnc Emerging Markets has a beta of -0.16 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pnc Emerging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pnc Emerging Markets is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pnc Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.0341, implying that it can generate a 0.0341 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pnc Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pnc Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pnc Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7815.8416.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7815.8416.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.3515.4116.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5516.1316.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pnc Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pnc Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pnc Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pnc Emerging Markets.

Pnc Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pnc Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pnc Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pnc Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pnc Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Pnc Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pnc Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pnc Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Pnc Emerging Markets maintains 95.57% of its assets in stocks

Pnc Emerging Technical Analysis

Pnc Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pnc Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pnc Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pnc Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pnc Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Pnc Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pnc Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pnc Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pnc Emerging Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pnc Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pnc Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Pnc Emerging Markets maintains 95.57% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Pnc Mutual Fund

Pnc Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pnc Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pnc with respect to the benefits of owning Pnc Emerging security.
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