P3 Health Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.071

PIIIW Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.88%   
P3 Health's future price is the expected price of P3 Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of P3 Health Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out P3 Health Backtesting, P3 Health Valuation, P3 Health Correlation, P3 Health Hype Analysis, P3 Health Volatility, P3 Health History as well as P3 Health Performance.
  
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.09 in 2024. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -2.26 in 2024. Please specify P3 Health's target price for which you would like P3 Health odds to be computed.

P3 Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.071

The tendency of PIIIW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.07  after 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.07 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of P3 Health to stay under $ 0.07  after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This P3 Health Partners probability density function shows the probability of PIIIW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of P3 Health Partners price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 0.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.15 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, P3 Health will likely underperform. Additionally P3 Health Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   P3 Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for P3 Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as P3 Health Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0125.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0125.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0125.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00080.020.05
Details

P3 Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. P3 Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the P3 Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold P3 Health Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of P3 Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

P3 Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of P3 Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for P3 Health Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
P3 Health Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
P3 Health Partners has high historical volatility and very poor performance
P3 Health Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
P3 Health Partners has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
P3 Health Partners has accumulated 121.94 M in total debt. P3 Health Partners has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about P3 Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
P3 Health Partners has accumulated about 4.34 M in cash with (76.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
P3 Health Partners has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Some P3 Health Partners Inc. Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Years Estimates - Simply Wall St

P3 Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PIIIW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential P3 Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. P3 Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.3 M

P3 Health Technical Analysis

P3 Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PIIIW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of P3 Health Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing PIIIW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

P3 Health Predictive Forecast Models

P3 Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many P3 Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary P3 Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about P3 Health Partners

Checking the ongoing alerts about P3 Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for P3 Health Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
P3 Health Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
P3 Health Partners has high historical volatility and very poor performance
P3 Health Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
P3 Health Partners has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
P3 Health Partners has accumulated 121.94 M in total debt. P3 Health Partners has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about P3 Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
P3 Health Partners has accumulated about 4.34 M in cash with (76.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
P3 Health Partners has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Some P3 Health Partners Inc. Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Years Estimates - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for PIIIW Stock Analysis

When running P3 Health's price analysis, check to measure P3 Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy P3 Health is operating at the current time. Most of P3 Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of P3 Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move P3 Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of P3 Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.