Pick N (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.32

PIK Stock  EUR 1.58  0.01  0.64%   
Pick N's future price is the expected price of Pick N instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pick n Pay performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pick N Backtesting, Pick N Valuation, Pick N Correlation, Pick N Hype Analysis, Pick N Volatility, Pick N History as well as Pick N Performance.
  
Please specify Pick N's target price for which you would like Pick N odds to be computed.

Pick N Target Price Odds to finish below 2.32

The tendency of Pick Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 2.32  after 90 days
 1.58 90 days 2.32 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pick N to stay under € 2.32  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Pick n Pay probability density function shows the probability of Pick Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pick n Pay price to stay between its current price of € 1.58  and € 2.32  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pick N has a beta of 0.38 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pick N average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pick n Pay will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pick n Pay has an alpha of 0.4879, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pick N Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pick N

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pick n Pay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.574.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.473.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.493.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.511.571.62
Details

Pick N Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pick N is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pick N's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pick n Pay, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pick N within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Pick N Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pick N for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pick n Pay can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pick n Pay may become a speculative penny stock
Pick n Pay has accumulated €117.53 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Pick n Pay has accumulated 117.53 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pick n Pay has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pick N until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pick N's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pick n Pay sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pick to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pick N's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 58.0% of Pick N shares are owned by institutional investors

Pick N Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pick Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pick N's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pick N's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding739.9 M

Pick N Technical Analysis

Pick N's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pick Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pick n Pay. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pick Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pick N Predictive Forecast Models

Pick N's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pick N's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pick N's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pick n Pay

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pick N for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pick n Pay help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pick n Pay may become a speculative penny stock
Pick n Pay has accumulated €117.53 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Pick n Pay has accumulated 117.53 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pick n Pay has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pick N until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pick N's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pick n Pay sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pick to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pick N's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 58.0% of Pick N shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Pick Stock

Pick N financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pick Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pick with respect to the benefits of owning Pick N security.