Pnc International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 25.73

PIUIX Fund  USD 25.70  0.12  0.47%   
Pnc International's future price is the expected price of Pnc International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pnc International Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pnc International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pnc International Correlation, Pnc International Hype Analysis, Pnc International Volatility, Pnc International History as well as Pnc International Performance.
  
Please specify Pnc International's target price for which you would like Pnc International odds to be computed.

Pnc International Target Price Odds to finish below 25.73

The tendency of Pnc Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 25.73  after 90 days
 25.70 90 days 25.73 
about 40.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pnc International to stay under $ 25.73  after 90 days from now is about 40.89 (This Pnc International Equity probability density function shows the probability of Pnc Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pnc International Equity price to stay between its current price of $ 25.70  and $ 25.73  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pnc International has a beta of 0.0656 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pnc International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pnc International Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pnc International Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pnc International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pnc International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pnc International Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8825.5826.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9425.6426.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1325.8426.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2225.5825.95
Details

Pnc International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pnc International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pnc International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pnc International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pnc International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0079
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Pnc International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pnc International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pnc International Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pnc International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Pnc International Equity maintains 97.75% of its assets in stocks

Pnc International Technical Analysis

Pnc International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pnc Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pnc International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pnc Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pnc International Predictive Forecast Models

Pnc International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pnc International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pnc International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pnc International Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pnc International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pnc International Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pnc International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Pnc International Equity maintains 97.75% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Pnc Mutual Fund

Pnc International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pnc Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pnc with respect to the benefits of owning Pnc International security.
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