Paydenkravitz Cash Balance Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.57

PKBIX Fund  USD 10.67  0.01  0.09%   
Payden/kravitz Cash's future price is the expected price of Payden/kravitz Cash instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Paydenkravitz Cash Balance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Payden/kravitz Cash Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Payden/kravitz Cash Correlation, Payden/kravitz Cash Hype Analysis, Payden/kravitz Cash Volatility, Payden/kravitz Cash History as well as Payden/kravitz Cash Performance.
  
Please specify Payden/kravitz Cash's target price for which you would like Payden/kravitz Cash odds to be computed.

Payden/kravitz Cash Target Price Odds to finish below 10.57

The tendency of Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.57  or more in 90 days
 10.67 90 days 10.57 
about 29.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Payden/kravitz Cash to drop to $ 10.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.12 (This Paydenkravitz Cash Balance probability density function shows the probability of Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Payden/kravitz Cash price to stay between $ 10.57  and its current price of $10.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Payden/kravitz Cash has a beta of 0.038 indicating as returns on the market go up, Payden/kravitz Cash average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Paydenkravitz Cash Balance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Paydenkravitz Cash Balance has an alpha of 0.0095, implying that it can generate a 0.009529 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Payden/kravitz Cash Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Payden/kravitz Cash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Payden/kravitz Cash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5810.6710.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.719.8011.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5710.6610.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6010.6410.68
Details

Payden/kravitz Cash Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Payden/kravitz Cash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Payden/kravitz Cash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paydenkravitz Cash Balance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Payden/kravitz Cash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -1.24

Payden/kravitz Cash Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Payden/kravitz Cash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Payden/kravitz Cash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.3% of its assets in cash

Payden/kravitz Cash Technical Analysis

Payden/kravitz Cash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paydenkravitz Cash Balance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Payden/kravitz Cash Predictive Forecast Models

Payden/kravitz Cash's time-series forecasting models is one of many Payden/kravitz Cash's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Payden/kravitz Cash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Payden/kravitz Cash

Checking the ongoing alerts about Payden/kravitz Cash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Payden/kravitz Cash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.3% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund

Payden/kravitz Cash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden/kravitz Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden/kravitz with respect to the benefits of owning Payden/kravitz Cash security.
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