Parkd (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0187

PKD Stock   0.02  0  4.55%   
Parkd's future price is the expected price of Parkd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Parkd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Parkd Backtesting, Parkd Valuation, Parkd Correlation, Parkd Hype Analysis, Parkd Volatility, Parkd History as well as Parkd Performance.
  
Please specify Parkd's target price for which you would like Parkd odds to be computed.

Parkd Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0187

The tendency of Parkd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Parkd to drop to  0.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Parkd probability density function shows the probability of Parkd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Parkd price to stay between  0.02  and its current price of 0.021 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Parkd has a beta of 0.57 indicating as returns on the market go up, Parkd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Parkd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Parkd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Parkd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Parkd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parkd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.023.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.023.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.023.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.03
Details

Parkd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Parkd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Parkd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Parkd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Parkd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Parkd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Parkd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Parkd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parkd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Parkd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Parkd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 3.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (294.12 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 292.88 K.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Parkd Ltd. Stresses Innovation Amid Market Uncertainties - TipRanks

Parkd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Parkd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Parkd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parkd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103 M
Cash And Short Term Investments590.6 K

Parkd Technical Analysis

Parkd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Parkd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Parkd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Parkd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Parkd Predictive Forecast Models

Parkd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Parkd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Parkd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Parkd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Parkd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Parkd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parkd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Parkd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Parkd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 3.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (294.12 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 292.88 K.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Parkd Ltd. Stresses Innovation Amid Market Uncertainties - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Parkd Stock Analysis

When running Parkd's price analysis, check to measure Parkd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Parkd is operating at the current time. Most of Parkd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Parkd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Parkd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Parkd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.