Protokinetix Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.008967

PKTX Stock  USD 0.01  0.0003  3.30%   
Protokinetix's future price is the expected price of Protokinetix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Protokinetix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Protokinetix Backtesting, Protokinetix Valuation, Protokinetix Correlation, Protokinetix Hype Analysis, Protokinetix Volatility, Protokinetix History as well as Protokinetix Performance.
  
Please specify Protokinetix's target price for which you would like Protokinetix odds to be computed.

Protokinetix Target Price Odds to finish over 0.008967

The tendency of Protokinetix Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 83.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Protokinetix to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 83.91 (This Protokinetix probability density function shows the probability of Protokinetix Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Protokinetix price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.0094 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Protokinetix has a beta of -3.03 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Protokinetix are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Protokinetix is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Protokinetix has an alpha of 0.7833, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Protokinetix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Protokinetix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Protokinetix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Protokinetix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0114.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0114.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0114.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Protokinetix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Protokinetix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Protokinetix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Protokinetix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Protokinetix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.03
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Protokinetix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Protokinetix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Protokinetix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Protokinetix is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Protokinetix has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Protokinetix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Protokinetix until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Protokinetix's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Protokinetix sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Protokinetix to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Protokinetix's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Protokinetix currently holds about 18.83 K in cash with (889.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Protokinetix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Protokinetix Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Protokinetix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Protokinetix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding297.4 M

Protokinetix Technical Analysis

Protokinetix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Protokinetix Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Protokinetix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Protokinetix Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Protokinetix Predictive Forecast Models

Protokinetix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Protokinetix's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Protokinetix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Protokinetix

Checking the ongoing alerts about Protokinetix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Protokinetix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Protokinetix is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Protokinetix has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Protokinetix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Protokinetix until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Protokinetix's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Protokinetix sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Protokinetix to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Protokinetix's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Protokinetix currently holds about 18.83 K in cash with (889.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Protokinetix Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Protokinetix's price analysis, check to measure Protokinetix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Protokinetix is operating at the current time. Most of Protokinetix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Protokinetix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Protokinetix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Protokinetix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.