Planet Properindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.06

PLAN Stock  IDR 34.00  1.00  3.03%   
Planet Properindo's future price is the expected price of Planet Properindo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Planet Properindo Jaya performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Planet Properindo Backtesting, Planet Properindo Valuation, Planet Properindo Correlation, Planet Properindo Hype Analysis, Planet Properindo Volatility, Planet Properindo History as well as Planet Properindo Performance.
  
Please specify Planet Properindo's target price for which you would like Planet Properindo odds to be computed.

Planet Properindo Target Price Odds to finish below 9.06

The tendency of Planet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.06  or more in 90 days
 34.00 90 days 9.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Planet Properindo to drop to  9.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Planet Properindo Jaya probability density function shows the probability of Planet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Planet Properindo Jaya price to stay between  9.06  and its current price of 34.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Planet Properindo Jaya has a beta of -1.19 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Planet Properindo Jaya are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Planet Properindo is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Planet Properindo Jaya has an alpha of 0.9986, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Planet Properindo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Planet Properindo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Planet Properindo Jaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7233.0038.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3926.6736.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.0436.3241.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.7031.7139.73
Details

Planet Properindo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Planet Properindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Planet Properindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Planet Properindo Jaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Planet Properindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Planet Properindo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Planet Properindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Planet Properindo Jaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Planet Properindo is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Planet Properindo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Planet Properindo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Planet Properindo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Planet Properindo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Planet Properindo Jaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Planet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Planet Properindo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Planet Properindo Jaya reported the revenue of 6.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (994.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B.

Planet Properindo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Planet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Planet Properindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Planet Properindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding892.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.9 M

Planet Properindo Technical Analysis

Planet Properindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Planet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Planet Properindo Jaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Planet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Planet Properindo Predictive Forecast Models

Planet Properindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Planet Properindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Planet Properindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Planet Properindo Jaya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Planet Properindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Planet Properindo Jaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Planet Properindo is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Planet Properindo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Planet Properindo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Planet Properindo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Planet Properindo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Planet Properindo Jaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Planet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Planet Properindo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Planet Properindo Jaya reported the revenue of 6.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (994.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B.

Other Information on Investing in Planet Stock

Planet Properindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Planet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Planet with respect to the benefits of owning Planet Properindo security.